Part 5 · The Maths III: Inside the SOTA Methods
SAASBO: sparsity as a prior
Give each dimension its own inverse squared lengthscale ρi (this is the ARD kernel), then be Bayesian about relevance:
ρi the inverse squared lengthscale for dimension i · τ the global shrinkage controlling how many dimensions stay active · small ρi means dimension i is effectively ignored
The half-Cauchy is the load-bearing choice: its mode at zero means every dimension is switched off by default (ρi ≈ 0 ⇒ that coordinate leaves the kernel), while its heavy tail lets the handful of dimensions the data actually supports escape to large ρi. The global scale τ adapts how many escape. Inference is fully Bayesian (NUTS), with predictions averaged over posterior samples — expensive per iteration, but in BO’s regime the evaluations still dominate. Sparsity is assumed until the data earns density — the exact opposite of fitting 100 lengthscales by maximum likelihood to 30 points.