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Part 8 · The Papers & Sources
The complete reference list
- H. J. Kushner (1964). A New Method of Locating the Maximum Point of an Arbitrary Multipeak Curve in the Presence of Noise. J. Basic Engineering 86(1). Probability of improvement.
- J. Mockus (1974/1978). On Bayesian Methods for Seeking the Extremum. Optimization Techniques / Towards Global Optimization 2. Expected improvement; the name.
- Donald R. Jones, Matthias Schonlau, William J. Welch (1998). Efficient Global Optimization of Expensive Black-Box Functions. J. Global Optimization 13:455–492. The seminal EGO template.
- Niranjan Srinivas, Andreas Krause, Sham Kakade, Matthias Seeger (2010). Gaussian Process Optimization in the Bandit Setting: No Regret and Experimental Design. ICML 2010. arXiv:0912.3995.
- James Bergstra, Rémi Bardenet, Yoshua Bengio, Balázs Kégl (2011). Algorithms for Hyper-Parameter Optimization (TPE). NeurIPS 2011.
- Frank Hutter, Holger H. Hoos, Kevin Leyton-Brown (2011). Sequential Model-Based Optimization for General Algorithm Configuration (SMAC). LION 5.
- Jasper Snoek, Hugo Larochelle, Ryan P. Adams (2012). Practical Bayesian Optimization of Machine Learning Algorithms. NeurIPS 2012. arXiv:1206.2944.
- Philipp Hennig, Christian J. Schuler (2012). Entropy Search for Information-Efficient Global Optimization. arXiv:1112.1217.
- José Miguel Hernández-Lobato, Matthew W. Hoffman, Zoubin Ghahramani (2014). Predictive Entropy Search. NeurIPS 2014. arXiv:1406.2541.
- Bobak Shahriari, Kevin Swersky, Ziyu Wang, Ryan P. Adams, Nando de Freitas (2016). Taking the Human Out of the Loop: A Review of Bayesian Optimization. Proc. IEEE 104(1).
- Zi Wang, Stefanie Jegelka (2017). Max-value Entropy Search for Efficient Bayesian Optimization. ICML 2017. arXiv:1703.01968.
- Peter I. Frazier (2018). A Tutorial on Bayesian Optimization. arXiv:1807.02811. This page’s notation.
- David Eriksson, Michael Pearce, Jacob R. Gardner, Ryan Turner, Matthias Poloczek (2019). Scalable Global Optimization via Local Bayesian Optimization (TuRBO). NeurIPS 2019. arXiv:1910.01739.
- Maximilian Balandat, Brian Karrer, Daniel R. Jiang, Samuel Daulton, Benjamin Letham, Andrew Gordon Wilson, Eytan Bakshy (2020). BoTorch: A Framework for Efficient Monte-Carlo Bayesian Optimization. NeurIPS 2020. arXiv:1910.06403.
- Samuel Daulton, Maximilian Balandat, Eytan Bakshy (2020). Differentiable Expected Hypervolume Improvement for Parallel Multi-Objective Bayesian Optimization (qEHVI). NeurIPS 2020. arXiv:2006.05078.
- David Eriksson, Martin Jankowiak (2021). High-Dimensional Bayesian Optimization with Sparse Axis-Aligned Subspaces (SAASBO). UAI 2021. arXiv:2103.00349.
- Benjamin J. Shields, Jason Stevens, Jun Li, et al. (2021). Bayesian reaction optimization as a tool for chemical synthesis. Nature 590:89–96.
- Carl Hvarfner, Danny Stoll, Artur Souza, Marius Lindauer, Frank Hutter, Luigi Nardi (2022). πBO: Augmenting Acquisition Functions with User Beliefs. ICLR 2022. arXiv:2204.11051.
- Yutian Chen et al. (2022). Towards Learning Universal Hyperparameter Optimizers with Transformers (OptFormer). NeurIPS 2022. arXiv:2205.13320.
- Alexander I. Cowen-Rivers et al. (2022). HEBO: Pushing the Limits of Sample-Efficient Hyper-parameter Optimisation. JAIR 74; modernized in arXiv:2607.10669 (2026).
- Samuel Müller, Matthias Feurer, Noah Hollmann, Frank Hutter (2023). PFNs4BO: In-Context Learning for Bayesian Optimization. ICML 2023. arXiv:2305.17535.
- Leonard Papenmeier, Luigi Nardi, Matthias Poloczek (2023). Bounce: Reliable High-Dimensional Bayesian Optimization for Combinatorial and Mixed Spaces. NeurIPS 2023. arXiv:2307.00618.
- Sebastian Ament, Samuel Daulton, David Eriksson, Maximilian Balandat, Eytan Bakshy (2023). Unexpected Improvements to Expected Improvement for Bayesian Optimization (LogEI). NeurIPS 2023. arXiv:2310.20708.
- Carl Hvarfner, Erik Orm Hellsten, Luigi Nardi (2024). Vanilla Bayesian Optimization Performs Great in High Dimensions. ICML 2024. arXiv:2402.02229.
- Zhitong Xu, Shandian Zhe (2024). Standard Gaussian Process is All You Need for High-Dimensional Bayesian Optimization. ICLR 2025. arXiv:2402.02746.
- Tennison Liu, Nicolás Astorga, Nabeel Seedat, Mihaela van der Schaar (2024). Large Language Models to Enhance Bayesian Optimization (LLAMBO). ICLR 2024. arXiv:2402.03921.
- Willie Neiswanger et al. (2025). Information-theoretic Bayesian Optimization: Survey and Tutorial. arXiv:2502.06789.
- (2025). GIT-BO: High-Dimensional Bayesian Optimization with Tabular Foundation Models. arXiv:2505.20685.
- (2025). LLMs for Bayesian Optimization in Scientific Domains: Are We There Yet?. arXiv:2509.21403.
- Leonard Papenmeier et al. (2025). We Still Don’t Understand High-Dimensional Bayesian Optimization. arXiv:2512.00170.
- (2026). Automated Kernel Discovery Towards Understanding High-dimensional Bayesian Optimization. arXiv:2605.20249.
- (2026). Evidence-Gated LLM Priors for Multi-Objective Bayesian Optimization. arXiv:2606.01730.
- (2026). When Is an LLM Worth It for Hyperparameter Optimization? A Budget-Matched Study. arXiv:2606.21641.
- (2026). LLM-Driven Evolutionary Generation of Multi-Objective Bayesian Optimization Algorithms. arXiv:2607.08791.
- Takuya Akiba, Shotaro Sano, Toshihiko Yanase, Takeru Ohta, Masanori Koyama (2019). Optuna: A Next-generation Hyperparameter Optimization Framework. KDD 2019.
- Roman Garnett (2023). Bayesian Optimization. Cambridge University Press. Free at bayesoptbook.com (verified live).
- Carl E. Rasmussen, Christopher K. I. Williams (2006). Gaussian Processes for Machine Learning. MIT Press. Free at gaussianprocess.org/gpml.
- Robert B. Gramacy (2020). Surrogates. CRC. Free at bobby.gramacy.com/surrogates.
- (2023). Multi-fidelity Bayesian Optimization: A Review. arXiv:2311.13050. The fidelity axis this page leaves aside.
- James Bergstra, Yoshua Bengio (2012). Random Search for Hyper-Parameter Optimization. JMLR 13. The random-beats-grid argument in the Background.
- Nikolaus Hansen (2016). The CMA Evolution Strategy: A Tutorial. arXiv:1604.00772. The evolutionary baseline in tables and quiz distractors.
- Peter I. Frazier, Warren B. Powell, Savas Dayanik (2008). A Knowledge-Gradient Policy for Sequential Information Collection. SIAM J. Control Optim. 47(5). Introduces the knowledge gradient for discrete alternatives — the criterion derived in Part 4.
- Warren Scott, Peter I. Frazier, Warren B. Powell (2011). The Correlated Knowledge Gradient for Simulation Optimization of Continuous Parameters using Gaussian Process Regression. SIAM J. Optimization 21(3). KGCP: carries the knowledge gradient to continuous spaces under a GP prior by discretizing the inner maximum.
- Jian Wu, Peter I. Frazier (2016). The Parallel Knowledge Gradient Method for Batch Bayesian Optimization. arXiv:1606.04414. q-KG: the Bayes-optimal batch, and unlike heuristic batch-EI it handles noise directly.
- Jian Wu, Matthias Poloczek, Andrew Gordon Wilson, Peter I. Frazier (2017). Bayesian Optimization with Gradients. arXiv:1703.04389. d-KG: uses derivative observations when the objective is itself a training run.
- Peter I. Frazier (2018). A Tutorial on Bayesian Optimization. arXiv:1807.02811. The clearest single account of expected improvement, entropy search and the knowledge gradient side by side.
- Jacob R. Gardner et al. (2018). GPyTorch. NeurIPS 2018. The GP engine under BoTorch.
Suggested reading order: Frazier’s tutorial first (this page with more proofs), EGO for the origin, Snoek et al. for the practice, LogEI to update your defaults, then the three high-dimensional papers as a set — a live scientific argument in motion. Garnett’s book whenever a chapter-length treatment is wanted.